A number of factors may make the 2017-18 season for flu something rather special! Already, the bug is showing up in more states than is 'normal' for the time of year. And, as the graphic above shows, it looks to be making significant headway in the central southern states! So, why do I think we might be in for a rougher than normal flu ride? Let me count out a few....
1) Every year, scientists look towards the Southern Hemisphere to help hone
their predictions for what might happen here. When choosing strains for
the coming year’s flu vaccine, they consider what’s circulating in that
part of the world. That’s the good news. The culprit in Australia was the H3N2 strain of
flu, which is included in this year’s vaccine and which dates back to Hong
Kong in 2014. The bad news is that the H3N2 strains are some of the hardest ones for the flu vaccine
to combat. All flu viruses make frequent genetic changes that help them
slip around a vaccine. Influenza H3N2 viruses are particularly adept at
changing as the vaccine is being made, rendering this year's vaccine less
effective against them. Some experts cite an effectiveness rating of only about 10%!
2) Most of the patients that have tested positive, as of late November, tested positive for the H3 Type A strain. The same virus that did such a number in the southern hemisphere...
3) Only about 47% of American citizens even bother to get a flu shot, citing their robust health as a reason. Sadly, the virus doesn't really care about who it infects. It treats everyone the same!
4) There is some growing evidence that more Gen X shoppers are flocking to the malls, not so much for the shopping aspect as for the socializing aspects.
5) There is some evidence that the H3 strain may be more deadly that what had been normal
Sources:
Flu season off to a tough start!
Flu shot may only be partially effective.
Mom of 2 dies day after flu diagnosis!
Some political commentary, a little science & reviews on fast food and maybe a few songs! Got a problem with that? OK, so I'm an acquired taste...
Showing posts with label 2017-18 season. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2017-18 season. Show all posts
Monday, December 4, 2017
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
The 2017-18 flu season may be a bad one!
One of the indicators for determining
how severe the coming flu season will be is to just look at the
opposite hemisphere to see what is happening. The flu bug is always
active somewhere in the world and tends to get worst in colder
weather when people tend to become in closer contact. When it's
October here and we are just getting into the cooler months, places
like Australia are heading for spring.
Health experts say this is Australia’s
worst flu outbreak thanks to a particularly nasty strain,
Influenza A (H3N2). More than 137,500
cases of flu have been reported so far this year including a record
breaking 30,000 cases in August. That’s more than double the 53,159
cases confirmed by this time last year and more than the total 83,092
cases confirmed by the end of the flu season in 2016.
So, we have that same strain, (perhaps)
to look forward to later this winter season! Thankfully,
the vaccine that is being made available this year has an A/Hong Kong/4801/2014
(H3N2)-like deactivated virus as part of the mix!
Of interest is the fact that the flu is already hitting states like Colorado pretty hard. www.taneyweather.com
Of interest is the fact that the flu is already hitting states like Colorado pretty hard. www.taneyweather.com
Labels:
2017-18 season,
Flu,
Forsythkid,
H3N2,
Influenza,
opinion
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