Tuesday, October 6, 2020

On risk assessment and the Covid-19 threat!

Since it's introduction from China, at the start of the year 2020, the Covid-19 virus earned a place in history as one of the most disruptive contagions since the 1918 swine flu.

Note here that I used the word 'disruptive' as opposed to 'deadly'. That's because after all the hoopla and haze surrounding the virus has finally dissapated, it turns out that a Coronavirus class viron just isn't all that scary!

True. The a virus can kill, and often does. Just look at the world's long history with the flu virus... There was an estimated 50 million who perhished in the 1918 Influenza pandemic!

Influenza outbreaks, even today, is a highly contagious respiratory illness that is responsible for significant morbidity and mortality. Approximately 9% of the world's population is affected annually, with up to 1 billion infections, 3 to 5 million severe cases, and 300,000 to 500,000 deaths each year.'

Nine percent of the American population, of about 350 million people, works out to be about 3,150,000 infected! This disease results, typically, in about 30K to 60K deaths...(It's hightly variable due to manny factors including how the death certificates were prepared). In the US, about 3 million die of some kind of problem each year, with heart disease and caner leading the pack in a significant manner.

Now, let's look at the Covid-Sars-2 virus, which has killed 210,000 in 2020, acording to a John Hopkins ongoing study. A closer examination, however, reveals that the vast majority of those whose deathes were attributed to Covid actually sucumbed to one or more so-called 'comorbidities'. That is to say, other complications, of which heart disease, obesity, and diabetes are currently the big three when it comes to biting the dust. One, or all three, can act in a syngestic manner to bring down older people with weakened immune systems.

Now, for anyone to say that Covid was not serious, would be wrong. It is bringing down citizens of age, who have other problems, in significant numbers. This group of people does need to be concerned and they need to take protective meassures for the forseeable future. That said, anyone who is in good health, under the age of 65 and who then acquires the virus, need not have a very great concern. 98% of these folks will recover just fine, with a bonus of having acquired some immunity as a result. Ergo, in a tough world where where stuff happens all the time, this bug ain't all that much... Truthfully, had no media outlet told us about Covid-Sars-2 (the bugs actual title), much of the Nation would have shrugged past nine months as a really tough flu season. We would have gone forward with out the lockdowns, the trillions lost, the depressions and sucicides in a relatively 'normal' fashion...

What did actually happen, was the politicalization of this virus, as a device used by the Left to divide and to conquer. Saul Alinski was once quoted that they (Socialists) must never let a good crisis go to waste. The Left, if nothing else, paid attention. The resulting chaos that was generated, by the hysterical outpourings of a corrupt mass media, was all that was needed to really turn the tide for them for the coming elections. Their motto; 'Point out a problem the Left generated, make them afraid of it and then blame the other Party for the problem'. (I don't think even Chuck Schumer could have put it better than that)!

So, am I accusing elements of the Deep State and China for intentionally upsetting the apple cart for poliutical and global gains. Heavens no! I'll let you, the reader judge for yourselves...

1 comment:

  1. The 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic was reported to have killed 50-100 million in some reports. I doubt if we'll eve get the correct figures. It only lasted about 2 years, but thinned the herd so to speak...!