What do you get when you mix slow
economic growth, high unemployment and inflation all together at the
same time? It's called 'stagflation' and it can quickly wreck an
economy like the one found in the United States if allowed to develop.
In early January of 2014, most
economists are expecting some growth in the GDP, an slowly improving
unemployment figure and a 2.4% inflation rate. All factors that would
tend to make one think things will be OK. However, what has not been
factored into these figures are three impressive blows to the
infrastructure of the Republic; ACA, drought conditions in California
and the EPA.
ACA Impacts
As many are now aware, the Affordable
Health-care Act has kicked in as of January the first and millions of
Americans have seen dramatic increases in the cost of health
insurance. Huge premium increases are now predicted (by the
government) with as many as forty million people affected. Much of
these increases are set to occur shortly before the fall elections.
With many millions of working class individuals and families living
week to week to make ends meet, one wonders what a large increase in
the monthly bill for healthcare will do...
California drought
California has been suffering from a
severe drought for many years and now the reservoirs are at all time
lows. California provides as much as 50% of all the produce grown in
the United States. Any disruption in that flow would have serious and
long term impacts on the cost of food for everyone. See Droughts:
Threats to Water and Food Security.
New EPA regulations
The EPA is now in the process of
finalizing greenhouse gas regulations for existing coal-fueled power
plants. Regulations now being considered would likely cause the
shutdown of many of our nations coal-fueled electrical generators and
cause the cost of electrical power to skyrocket in coming years. See
Proposed
EPA Regulations Threaten to Drive UP Electricity Prices
I think that these (and many other)
unpublicized increases in 2014 could easily sink the economy at a
time when the Fed has been employing QE (Quantitative Easing) for
many years while restricting interest rates to near zero levels. The
next effect would be unrestricted stagflation similar to those seen
in the waning days of the Weimar
Republic.
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